Tuesday night, the US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire. Pakistan brokered it. Both sides confirmed. Markets surged. Oil dropped 13%. Families in Beirut packed their bags to go home.

Twelve hours later, Israel launched 50 jets into Lebanon. 100 targets. 160 munitions. 203 dead. The largest strike of the entire war — after the ceasefire.

Netanyahu said Lebanon wasn't included. Trump backed him over his own mediator. Called 203 dead "a separate skirmish."

In this episode:

— What the ceasefire deal actually was and why Trump accepting Iran's terms was a concession

— How Netanyahu vetoed the deal within hours

— Who inside the White House is fighting for peace and who's fighting for Israel

— The inner circle: Kushner, Witkoff, Rubio, Huckabee, Adelson, and the structure around Trump

— Iran's response and why the ceasefire is collapsing in real time

— The pattern: Israel has torpedoed every peace process for decades

— What comes next if the restraint faction loses — ground troops, Kharg Island, and the point of no return

Sources: NPR, Al Jazeera, CBS, NBC, CNN, Axios, Washington Post, Foreign Policy, Times of Israel, PBS, Fox News

President Trump addressed the nation on the Iran war Wednesday night. The White House promised "an important update."

What he delivered was 19 minutes of talking points that contradict his own intelligence chief, his own counterterrorism director, his own words from the night he started the war, and his own Reuters interview published the same day.

In this episode, I take the speech apart line by line. Every claim checked against the receipts. The nuclear deal he broke and then blamed Iran for. The diplomacy he sabotaged and then said he tried. The regime change he pursued on camera and then denied. The 45,000 dead Iranian civilians he cited as justification while promising to bomb them back to the stone ages and destroy their electrical grid.

Sources include the IAEA, Arms Control Association, the White House's own transcript, Reuters, CNN, NPR, Al Jazeera, Antiwar.com, and the president's own words on tape.

While every camera in the country points at Iran, the US is quietly waging war across the Western Hemisphere. And the Pentagon just told Congress it's "just the beginning."

In this episode I walk through:

— Operation Southern Spear: 46 boat strikes, 159 dead, no evidence, no trials. The UN calls them extrajudicial killings. A former ICC prosecutor calls them crimes against humanity.

— Operation Total Extermination: joint US-Ecuador land strikes along the Colombia border, with a 500-pound bomb landing on a Colombian farm

— Cuba: three nationwide blackouts in March, zero oil shipments in three months, a regime change operation targeting a dictator's grandson

— Venezuela: a puppet state held together by the threat of criminal indictment

— The Donroe Doctrine: how Trump flipped a 200-year-old defensive policy into a license for American empire

— The 18-nation coalition nobody voted for and nobody can define

— The full list of countries the US is currently bombing, blockading, or operating in — simultaneously, in a single year, without congressional authorization

— Who benefits from the Latin America thread vs. the Middle East thread — and why they're different

Almost 3 weeks in. The objectives have changed six times. No allies are sending ships. The Arab states are furious. Iran says they never asked for a ceasefire. And the president said on camera, that maybe we shouldn't be there at all.

In this episode, I walk through:
— The six shifting justifications for the war
— What Iran is actually saying vs. what Trump claims
— Why no country will send warships to the Strait of Hormuz
— Why the Arab states are getting bombed and who they blame
— Every realistic offramp — and why none of them are easy

Brave The New World — See the pattern. Know the playbook. Take action.

Two people in the Trump administration had access to the same
intelligence on Iran. Both built careers opposing exactly this
kind of war.

Joe Kent resigned and said it plainly: "Iran posed no imminent
threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war
due to pressure from Israel."

Tulsi Gabbard broke three weeks of silence with a statement
that never once said she agreed with the threat assessment.
She's the Director of National Intelligence. That's literally
her job.

In this video, I break down both statements line by line and
explain why Tulsi's cowardice is worse than the hawks who
wanted this war.

The US is spending $900 million a day on the Iran war. Tariffs are triggering stagflation. The dollar is losing its grip on global reserves. China is weaponizing rare earths.

Foreign creditors are dumping US Treasuries and buying gold. And the WEF just released their Global Risks 2026 report warning of "geoeconomic confrontation" as the top trigger for a material global crisis.

There's a word for all of this happening at once: the polycrisis.

Here's the problem. The people who named it are the same people who caused it. And their solution is more of themselves.

This week Matt sits down with Sterlin — founder of the Parallel Mind project and one of the most serious thinkers working on civilization-level problems from a liberty lens.

They break down what the polycrisis actually is, why the Davos crowd adopted the term, and what the establishment's proposed remedies actually mean for your freedom.

They cover:

• What the polycrisis actually is — and the metacrisis distinction that explains why everyone feels psychologically wrecked right now
• How the Iran war, tariff stagflation, de-dollarization, and AI disruption are causally connected — not separate stories
• The ratchet effect: every major crisis in history expands state power, and almost none of it ever comes back
• The 1930s parallel — what "polycrisis responses" have historically looked like in practice
• Sterlin's Parallel Mind framework — parallel finance, parallel governance, parallel institutions — and why decentralized systems beat top-down coordination every time
• Why optimism isn't naive right now — and what building outside legacy institutions actually looks like
  

"We knew there was going to be an Israeli action. We knew that would precipitate an attack against American forces."

That's Marco Rubio — the Secretary of State — admitting on the record that America went to war because Israel decided to. Not because we were attacked. Because they were going to be.

Senator Angus King asked the question we all have: "Have we now delegated the most solemn decision that can be made in our society — the decision to go to war — to another country?"

The answer is yes. In this episode, I make the case that:

— America's sovereignty has been compromised

— Our foreign policy is controlled by a donor class, not voters

— Donald Trump. the man who promised to tear this machine apart, has been captured by it

— There is no political solution. Only exit.

Follow @matthewcarano on X

Follow @bravethnewworld on X

www.youtube.com/@BraveTheNewWrld

US and Israeli bombs are falling on Tehran. American bases are under fire. The war 80% of Americans opposed is here.

America calls it Operation Epic Fury. Israel calls it Operation Shield of Judah. One is marketing. The other is an admission.

In this episode:

• The moving goalposts: Five justifications in eight months. Nuclear → protesters → human rights → nuclear again. When the reason keeps changing, there is no reason.
• The pipeline: How a think tank, media personalities, senators, and a foreign government converted their interests into American foreign policy — without American support.
• The salesmen: FDD, Shapiro, Levin, Graham, Cotton, Netanyahu. Now that the bombs are falling, somebody needs to own this.
• What's coming: The escalation spiral is already starting. Four bases hit. Proxies mobilizing. Oil spiking. Everything they mocked us for predicting.
  

A senior diplomat said it this morning: "When negotiations get close to success, Israel has intervened to preempt diplomacy."

The talks were working. Israel killed them. With bombs. Named the operation after themselves. And dragged us into it.

This war isn't for us. It never was.