A New Circularity

Concerns over the spending and investment circularity of the AI Ecosystem between chip makers, hyperscalers and data centers has shifted to a New Circularity, driving credit spreads wider. The New Circularity was initiated by new AI apps hitting software equity valuations and credit spreads, which in turn is feeding into concerns over vehicles exposed to that widening, namely the Broadly Syndicated loan market, the Private Credit market, BDCs and even Insurance Companies. Valuation declines have in turn driven redemption requests which has placed more pressure on credit spreads

Participants:

1. Jason Mandel (Desk Strategy), Head of Leveraged Finance Desk Strategy
2. Jason Daw (Desk Strategy), Head of North America Rates Strategy
3. Steven Denny (Desk Strategy), Head of US IG Credit Strategy

* Research Analyst opinions are their published views, independent of those expressed by Desk Analysts