Four weeks into the war in Iran, the numbers tell a stark story around the risks for equity plays in regions like the UAE. Dubai-listed property and bank stocks have tumbled, while the government bears the burden of owning leading hotel and airline groups.

With the Straits of Hormuz as a daily topic, Mohammed Nalla and The Finance Ghost discuss the ways in which this is reshaping global logistics - and perhaps more importantly, the stocks of companies in this sector. And yes, this includes the concept of war insurance!

Today’s Topics:

• War insurance premiums have skyrocketed from negligible levels to 7.5% of vessel value per voyage, creating a concerning inflationary effect in commodity prices and shipping costs.
• Dubai's top property stocks have cratered 20% to 30% in a single month, with Emaar Properties leading the decline. What could this mean for the Dubai property market in years to come?
• With UAE-based banks holding most of the debt in property stocks, how have those stocks performed?
• The value of public sector ownership in times of crisis, with government-owned infrastructure like airports able to weather the storm. Ditto for Emirates Airlines and leading hotel groups.
• Qatar faces approximately $20 billion in annual LNG losses, with a recovery timeline stretching five to six years.

Get in touch:

• The Magic Markets Website
• @MagicMarketsPod, @FinanceGhost, and @MohammedNalla (all on X)
• Pop us a note on LinkedIn

Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.

From a macro perspective, the ongoing conflict in Iran has dished up some important movies in currencies, bonds, commodities and inflation expectations. Mohammed Nalla takes us through what we've learnt in the past few weeks - and not just about oil.

In South Africa, earnings season on the JSE has put the spotlight on certain sectors and themes. With reference to retail, property, banks and even a couple of high-growth companies on the market, The Finance Ghost delivers a useful summary of what we've seen this month.

Today’s Topics:

• In the third week of conflict in Iran, what do the moves in gold vs. the US dollar tell us about safe-haven assets?
• How has oil behaved and what does this mean for inflation and bond markets?
• What can we learn from the behaviour in global equity markets in recent weeks?
• The performance of sectors on the JSE including retail, property and banking.
• CA&S and Weaver Fintech as examples of growth engines on the JSE.

Get in touch:

• The Magic Markets Website
• @MagicMarketsPod, @FinanceGhost, and @MohammedNalla (all on X)
• Pop us a note on LinkedIn

Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.

With lightning-fast developments in AI on everyone's lips, figuring out where to play in this value chain is no mean feat. Will the hyperscalers achieve return on investment, or is it better to sit as far back in the chain as possible, targeting names like NVIDIA rather than Microsoft or Alphabet?

Is this just a fad, or are we in an "AI epoch" that wil define the next few decades of our lives?

These are examples of the many questions that David Eborall must ask himself on a daily basis in the process of managing the funds at SaltLight Capital. As an entrepreneur-turned-fund-manager, he brings a unique lens to his capital management decisions.

This podcast is part of our efforts to bring you some of South Africa's best and most interesting boutique fund managers. It's a great way to understand more about David's edge and why he believes that AI is still in its infancy in our lives.

Today’s Topics:

• The flexibility inherent in the SaltLight funds and why this is important in global markets as an opportunity maximalist.
• David's edge as an entrepreneur, with deep experience in areas like machine learning and coding.
• The importance of "doing the work" in the research process and working with a range of potential outcomes (Expected Value Investing).
• The difference between an epoch and a trend, or even a megatrend - and why positioning a portfolio accordingly is so important.
• The paradoxical inconsistencies in global markets and how investors are viewing the different levels in the AI value chain.

Find out more about SaltLight Capital here:

• Recommended: sign up for the excellent investor letters at this link
• SaltLight Capital website
• Reach out to David Eborall on LinkedIn or X

Get in touch:

• The Magic Markets Website
• @MagicMarketsPod, @FinanceGhost, and @MohammedNalla (all on X)
• Pop us a note on LinkedIn

Disclaimer: This podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. SaltLight Capital Management (Pty) Ltd is an Authorised Financial Services Provider, FSP number 48286. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. Please always speak to your financial advisor when making any investment decisions.