Japan shows a different standard. Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley discuss his trip to Tokyo where he saw zero homeless people, fewer than five overweight individuals, spotless streets, and cheap food. They link it to cultural pride – Japanese people are “too proud to be homeless” – and contrast with Las Vegas. Then they turn to Iran: the U.S. and Israel aren't controlling escalation as Iran runs an economic war markets may be underpricing. With oil near $100 feeding inflation via gas and diesel, they review the S&P 500 peak at 7002 and 7% drop, Dave's call for more downside then a bottom, and a best-case peace scenario sparking asset-bubble growth.

Timestamps:

1. (05:02) Jerremy saw zero homeless in Tokyo's 40 million – clean streets, unusually cheap food, and fewer than five overweight people observed
2. (06:58) Japanese are too proud to be homeless – top-down integrity creates pristine cities unlike littered Las Vegas
3. (17:41) Iran wages economic war through oil – U.S. and Israel lack escalation control as markets underprice the threat
4. (22:57) S&P 500 peaked near 7002 then dropped 7% – Dave predicts further downside before sidelined money returns for a bottom
5. (26:18) Oil near $100 drives gas and diesel inflation – real economic pain from Iran's strategy
6. (28:40) Best-case peace unlocks more supply – possibly Russia creating asset-bubble surge despite sticky inflation
7. (31:21) Trump posts swing markets wildly – political risks and escalation forecast remain high

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Go to school, get a degree, get a job, build a life — that contract expired and nobody sent the memo. Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley trace the wreckage: a 16-year-old who can't get hired at Wendy's, a retirement vehicle that was really just a tax code loophole, and an AI wave aimed squarely at people who thought sitting behind a laptop meant safety. The World Economic Forum says 78 million net jobs by 2030. Jerremy and Dave aren't buying it. America needs a new deal. Nobody's writing it.

Timestamps:

1. (00:00) The deal was school → degree → job → life — it's already dead – and no one sent the memo
2. (01:56) College is vanilla ice cream – fine, not worth the price, and definitely not the only flavor
3. (03:34) "Send everyone to trades" is the new "learn to code" – sounds great until you pressure-test it
4. (06:17) Dave's buddy builds pinball machines and laughs at AI – people who move atoms, not electrons, sleep fine
5. (14:33) Jerremy's 16-year-old can't get hired at Wendy's – if entry-level is closed, where does the pipeline start
6. (16:39) Dave had 200 credit hours and zero degrees – a buddy called him qualified for "stupid" and that became AOL
7. (22:42) Every party starts with "what do you do?" – Americans live to work while Europe works to live
8. (27:05) No one talks about their job on their deathbed – legacy beats title every single time
9. (28:17) AI won't create an economic crisis — it'll create an identity crisis – the laptop class gets hit first
10. (44:31) 81% of workers fear losing their job in 2025 – the Great Stay is really the Great Trap
11. (49:59) The average 401k is $97,369 – a tax loophole dressed as retirement that was never meant for you
12. (58:22) $145M in apprenticeship funding got zeroed out – the headlines land but the money doesn't
13. (1:13:05) America is entering 2030 without a replacement deal – and nobody's writing one

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The Department of Labor had $145 million earmarked for apprenticeships in shipbuilding, semiconductors, and healthcare. Then it got zeroed out. Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley close the Work In Progress opener by pulling apart the distance between what Washington announces and what actually lands. Workforce training budgets are shrinking. Skilled trades can't find workers. Immigration enforcement cut the pipeline further. Meanwhile, every country doing this well — Denmark, Germany, Singapore, Japan — shares costs across government, employers, and individuals. America's version? Figure it out yourself. The old contract is dead. AI is the accelerant. No one's writing the replacement.

Timestamps:

1. (00:19) $145M for apprenticeships — zeroed out before a single worker got trained – headlines land but funding doesn't
2. (00:19) Workforce training authority dropped from $3.9B to $3B – the budget is shrinking while the need is exploding
3. (00:19) Pell Grants for eight-week programs start July 2026 – sounds great until you ask who's paying for it
4. (15:02) AI didn't break the contract — it expired on its own – school, degree, job, house stopped delivering years ago
5. (15:02) Denmark shares the risk three ways — America dumps it on the worker – that's the one structural difference no one wants to adopt

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Eighty-one percent of workers fear losing their jobs in 2025 — and most of them can't afford to quit anyway. Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley call the Great Stay what it is: a debt trap dressed as job stability. Then they crack open the retirement system. The 401(k) was never designed for you — it's section 401(k) of the tax code, a corporate cost-saving accident that got rebranded as a future. Only 15% of workers still have a real pension. Dave's late wife had one — it paid out pennies on the dollar. Average 401(k) balance: $97,369. Unfunded liabilities: $145 trillion. Nobody's asking how we pay for any of it.

Timestamps:

1. (00:00) 78 million new AI jobs by 2030 — and neither host believes it – the lived reality is kiosks replacing waitstaff and tax prep going fully automated
2. (00:00) 81% of workers fear losing their job but can't afford to leave – the Great Stay is a debt trap, not loyalty
3. (05:44) The 401(k) is literally a tax code section, not a retirement plan – corporate America off-loaded the risk and called it empowerment
4. (05:44) Dave's late wife had a real pension — it paid out $15,000 – that's what a "defined benefit" is actually worth when you collect

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A buddy told Dave he was qualified for "stupid" — that's how he got hired at AOL with 200 college credits and nothing to show for it. Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley skip the inspirational playbook and get blunt: showing your feet on Instagram is not a career, professional athlete is not a plan, and your gap year needs a deadline. Then the real edge: Americans are trapped in a cycle where income equals identity, work equals endurance, and nobody on their deathbed says they wish they'd logged more hours. AI is about to torch the middle class. The post-abundance world might free us — if the right people write the rules.

Timestamps:

1. (00:28) Dave had 200 credits and no degree — a buddy called him qualified for "stupid" – that's how careers actually start
2. (06:30) Every party opens with "what do you do?" – Americans live to work while Europe works to live
3. (10:53) Your legacy is not your LinkedIn headline – love, family, and what you built are the only things that survive
4. (12:06) AI won't just take jobs — it'll erase the identity people built around them – the middle class gets hit first

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The deal was always simple: school, degree, stable job, good life. Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley launch their Work In Progress series by asking what happens when that pipeline stops delivering. College is outdated and overpriced, trades aren't the universal fix everyone claims, and entry-level hiring is quietly seizing up. People in their circles feel fine — but Jerremy's 16-year-old son can't land a fast-food gig. The hosts press listeners to get close to revenue-generating work before AI finishes the job.

Timestamps:

1. (00:00) New series launch – the old American deal and why it no longer holds
2. (01:56) College revisited – "okay" but unaffordable and stuck in a one-lane model
3. (03:34) Trades aren't the fix – gig economy gaps and a broken pipeline
4. (06:17) Who feels secure – current workers are fine but new hiring is freezing
5. (14:33) Gig work stigma – freelancer vs. gig worker and why the label matters

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erremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley close out the Trigger Warning series with a full recap of what four guests taught them about guns in America. 44,000 gun deaths a year. 62% are suicides — disproportionately lonely rural veterans. The rest is mostly young men killing each other in concentrated zones. Richie and Josiah brought the moral framework. Stephen Orr mapped the three-trigger progression. Marie Newman followed the money. Parisa proved $500 million could harden every school. The throughline: this is a crisis of men, not a crisis of guns. And the system profits from leaving it unsolved.

Timestamps:

1. (00:00) Welcome and series recap – wrapping the Trigger Warning arc on guns in America
2. (01:12) Gun violence as a human rights issue – why this isn't really about gun rights
3. (03:58) The data: 44,000 deaths, 62% suicides – lonely rural veterans are the hidden majority
4. (06:25) A gun is a tool, a brick is a brick – you build a church or break a window
5. (07:55) Richie & Josiah: moral framework – two problems conflated into one bad debate
6. (10:24) Fatherlessness and boys in crisis – the systemic root nobody wants to name
7. (12:32) Stephen Orr's three-trigger progression – humiliation, loss of identity, rejection
8. (14:07) Boys and girls learn differently – Dave's all-boys school and why it worked
9. (16:51) Marie Newman: follow the money – unsolved problems stay unsolved because it pays better
10. (24:14) Parisa: harden the schools – $500 million covers every school in America
11. (30:44) Curiosity and the love of the sea – information is free, motivation isn't
12. (38:10) Where Jerremy and Dave disagree – marginal laws, red flags, and criminal compliance
13. (42:26) Check-ins over seizures – a pro-human approach to guns and crisis
14. (46:37) Purpose not pills – 50 zip codes, $50 million, community intervention
15. (49:08) Wrap-up – what the series landed on and what's next

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Stronger doors, working locks, bulletproof glass — $500 million could make every American school safe. Jerremy Alexander Newsome and Dave Conley break down why that hasn't happened, then pivot to a harder problem: schools that don't teach. Miami-Dade has buildings at roughly 30% occupancy turning out graduates who can't read, and political resistance blocks every attempt to fix it. They debate where they disagree — check-ins, legislation, enforcement — and land on a throughline: purpose, not pills. Community intervention in the 50 zip codes where violence concentrates, mental health infrastructure, and giving broken men a reason to stay alive.

Timestamps:

1. (00:00) Locks, learning, and the way forward – the full episode roadmap
2. (04:12) Education crisis: Miami-Dade and beyond – ~30% occupancy, low proficiency, zero accountability
3. (06:39) Curiosity, teaching, and the love of the sea – why information access alone isn't the answer
4. (14:05) Where they disagree – Jerremy and Dave split on enforcement and legislation
5. (18:21) Pro-human gun safety – check-ins, kindness, and keeping people connected
6. (22:32) Purpose not pills – community intervention in the 50 worst zip codes
7. (25:03) Wrap-up and call to action – where the series lands

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