UFC Mexico: Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh | First Strike

First Strike is back with a full betting preview of UFC Mexico, headlined by Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh.

Dave Ross and Rob Moreno are joined by Dan Vreeland (@GumbyVreeland) to break down the card from a betting perspective, diving into model projections, matchup dynamics, and where the value might lie heading into fight night.

📊 Model-driven predictions

💰 Betting angles across the card

🧠 Moreno vs Kavanagh breakdown

🎯 Spots worth targeting (and avoiding)

Whether you’re looking for sharp analysis or actionable betting insight, First Strike gets you ready for UFC Mexico.

🎧 Subscribe and listen wherever you get your podcasts. Or watch on YouTube! (@FirstStrike-mma)

🐦 Follow the hosts on X: @drosssports & @TheRobbeo

🌐 More sports betting coverage at VSiN.com

00:00 - Welcome Back

01:13 - Previewing Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh

05:53 - A look at Marlon Vera vs David Martinez

08:00 - Expect Fireworks in Daniel Zellhuber vs King Green

10:00 - Diving Deeper in UFC Mexico

11:10 - Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson

14:44 - Identifying some Prelim plays

18:19 - Welcome back Rob Moreno

20:38 - Extracting value out of Zellhuber vs Green

24:26 - A close look at Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson

28:06 - Advice from the data

31:16 - Main Event Model Predictions

37:44 - Wrap Up

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